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2024-12-14 04:44:58

With regard to consumption, everyone knows the current consumption situation. The capital speculation, education, pet economy, cinema, snacks, millet economy, and the concept of Pinduoduo and Tik Tok are also confirming this logic. When I have time, I can talk more about the dilemma we are facing. That is to say, you should not just watch the excitement, but understand the current consumption situation, which is no longer a house, a car, home appliances, and a rough road.Current A-shares: The upward momentum is still the same, so we need to be cautious in chasing up —— Investment suggestion of technical schoolSo how should we treat the opportunities and risks in the current market? Let me tell you my views.


Although countless people, such as Mr. Li Daxiao, are calling for embracing the market weight of core values every day, millions of big V's remind small-cap stocks of the risks every day, and call attention to the switching of large and small tickets every day, but for several months, I haven't seen the switching, or even the signs of switching. In the past few months, the rise of small tickets has reached a new high every day without looking back, and the weight headed by SSE 50 has almost never looked back after hitting a high on October 8.1) The average share price shows that the market is full of upward momentum!The weekly chart shows that liquor has been in such a downward channel, so the two red points circled by me in the chart, one is the high point on October 8 and the other is the high point on November 12, corresponding to the market turnover of 3 trillion and 2.6 trillion respectively at that time, and liquor will face this pressure again tomorrow. If its turnover cannot exceed before, it will not be able to break through this trend line. Then, with the news of the meeting, I have doubts about the sustainability of the whole consumption sector. Even if it can rise tomorrow and Friday, I am worried that it is taking advantage of the megaphone effect on the weekend. After all, consumption is the sector that can't afford scrutiny, the most uncertain performance and the most fantastic speculation.


Although there is pressure around 22.20, as long as the market's rise is not abrupt, it can follow the rhythm similar to that of the last two days every day, that is, don't talk about it easily, and everyone must not be confused by the mixed stock reviews.And micro-disk stocks are even crazier than Nasdaq.Today, when I saw that those who sell kitchen utensils, diapers, pine nuts and duck necks are all soaring, I saw that more of them are risks. I don't think these things are going to be reversed. This kind of hype must be that risks outweigh opportunities. I have read all three of their quarterly reports, and it is definitely an indescribable dangerous smell.

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